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Confidential Owner Report
Industrial Property Report

Stonebridge Logistics Center

4820 Commerce Pkwy, Phoenix, AZ Prepared June 2026
Est. Value
$6.8M – $7.6M
Strategy
Reposition & re-lease
Confidence
High
Inside this report
  1. 01 — Executive Summary
  2. 02 — Property Overview
  3. 03 — Market Analysis
  4. 04 — Valuation & Pricing
  5. 05 — Financial Pro Forma
  6. 06 — Comparable Transactions
  7. 07 — SWOT & Risk Assessment
  8. 08 — Recommendations & Exit Strategy
Report ID: PSA-INDUSTRIAL-June2026
Industrial
Page 1 of 8
Property Sage AI
Page 2 of 8
01Executive Summary

Property at a glance

48,000 SF flex industrial asset with strong last-mile fundamentals. Recommended path: backfill vacancy and refresh exterior before testing the market.

Est. Value
$6.8M – $7.6M
Strategy
Reposition & re-lease
Confidence
High

Headline findings

  • Asset is well-positioned within Southwest Phoenix Industrial given current supply/demand fundamentals.
  • Identified value-creation path is achievable in a 12–24 month window with measured capital.
  • Comparable transactions support our valuation band within ±6% on a $/SF basis.
  • No material market headwinds expected through the recommended hold period.

Confidence indicators

Valuation92%
Market data88%
Comp coverage84%
Property Sage AI
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02Property Overview

Asset details & condition

48,000 SF on 4.2 acres. Built 2008, 22' clear height, 8 dock-high doors, fully sprinklered. Currently 65% leased to two tenants.

Property Snapshot

Property name
Stonebridge Logistics Center
Address
4820 Commerce Pkwy, Phoenix, AZ
Submarket
Southwest Phoenix Industrial
Asset class
Industrial
Year built / renovated
2008 / 2019
Ownership
Fee simple

Physical Attributes

Building Size
48,000 SF
Clear Height
22'
Occupancy
65%

Condition assessment

Roof
B+
HVAC / MEP
B
Envelope
A-
Site / Parking
B+

Building systems, envelope, and site improvements were evaluated against age-appropriate benchmarks. Overall condition is consistent with the asset's vintage and prior capital plan; near-term capex is limited to cosmetic refresh and tenant-driven improvements.

Property Sage AI
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03Market Analysis

Submarket trends & demand

Industrial rents up 9% YoY in this submarket. Vacancy compressed to 4.1%. Last-mile demand continues to outpace supply through 2027.

Rent Growth (YoY)
+9.0%
Vacancy
4.1%
Lease Rate
$11.50 – $13.25

Submarket trend (last 4 quarters)

Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
Indexed rent / demand momentum within Southwest Phoenix Industrial.

Supply & demand drivers

Tailwinds
  • Net in-migration averaging 1.8% / yr in the MSA.
  • Limited near-term competing deliveries (under 1.4% of stock).
  • Employment growth in adjacent industries supporting demand.
Headwinds
  • Cap-rate compression has slowed; modest decompression possible.
  • Insurance and operating costs trending above CPI.
  • Lender spreads remain wider than 5-year average.
Property Sage AI
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04Pricing

Valuation & Pricing Analysis

Three-method valuation triangulating Income, Sales Comparison, and Cost approaches. Concluded value reflects current market conditions and the asset's position within Southwest Phoenix Industrial.

Income approach
$14.8M
Weight: 60%
Sales comparison
$15.1M
Weight: 30%
Cost approach
$14.4M
Weight: 10%
Concluded value
$14.9M
($14.0M – $15.6M range)

Sensitivity analysis

Cap rate ↓ / NOI →-5%Base+5%
5.75%$15.2M$16.0M$16.8M
6.25%$14.0M$14.9M$15.4M
6.75%$12.9M$13.6M$14.3M
Property Sage AI
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05Financials

5-Year Financial Pro Forma

Projected stabilized cash flows assume 3% annual rent growth, 2% expense growth, and a 7% vacancy reserve. Returns are illustrative and pre-debt.

Line itemYr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5
Gross Potential Income$1,420k$1,463k$1,507k$1,552k$1,599k
Vacancy & Collection($99k)($102k)($105k)($109k)($112k)
Effective Gross Income$1,321k$1,361k$1,402k$1,443k$1,487k
Operating Expenses($388k)($396k)($404k)($412k)($420k)
Net Operating Income$933k$965k$998k$1,031k$1,067k
Capex Reserve($28k)($29k)($30k)($31k)($32k)
Cash Flow Before Debt$905k$936k$968k$1,000k$1,035k
Going-in cap
6.26%
Year-5 cap
7.16%
Unlevered IRR
8.4%
Equity multiple
1.6x
Property Sage AI
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06Comparable Properties

Recent sales & lease comps

Six comparable transactions within 5 miles, adjusted for size, clear height, and occupancy. Median cap rate of 6.4%.

Comps Pulled
6
Median Cap Rate
6.4%
$/SF (avg)
$152

Comparable transactions

#PropertyDistance$/SFCap rate
1Pinecrest Distribution1.4 mi$1486.5%
2Riverline Logistics II2.7 mi$1566.3%
344 Commerce Park3.1 mi$1516.4%
4Westport Industrial4.6 mi$1556.2%
5Cedar Trade Center5.0 mi$1496.5%

Comp set drawn from arm's-length transactions in the trailing 18 months; outliers (REIT portfolio trades, intra-family transfers) excluded. Adjustments applied for age, condition, lease structure, and location.

Property Sage AI
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07Risk

SWOT & Risk Assessment

Strengths
  • Stabilized in-place income with credit-quality tenancy
  • Below-market rents create mark-to-market upside
  • Strong submarket fundamentals and barrier to new supply
Opportunities
  • Renewal at market on next rollover (≈14% lift)
  • Modest capex unlocks higher-rent tenant tier
  • Refi at stabilization improves cash-on-cash
Weaknesses
  • Concentrated rollover in years 3–4
  • Limited expansion footprint on existing parcel
Threats
  • Insurance premiums trending up 6–8% annually
  • Macro rate path could widen exit cap by 25–50 bps

Risk register

RiskLikelihoodImpactMitigation
Tenant rolloverMedHighPre-leasing & early renewal
Cap rate expansionMedMedLock fixed-rate debt
OpEx inflationHighLowNNN passthrough where possible
Insurance marketHighMedBundle & higher deductible
08Strategic Recommendations

Your prioritized action plan

Refresh exterior to lift NOI, backfill vacancy at current market rate, then test the market with a confidential BOV.

  1. 1
    Step 1
    Refresh exterior
  2. 2
    Step 2
    Backfill vacancy
  3. 3
    Step 3
    Confidential BOV

Exit strategy scenarios

Hold 3 yrs
$16.2M
IRR 9.1%
Sell after lease-up
Hold 5 yrs
$17.4M
IRR 8.4%
Refi + distribute, sell at stabilization
Hold 7 yrs
$18.6M
IRR 7.6%
Long hold for cash yield
Disclaimer: This sample report contains illustrative figures and is shown for demonstration only. Your actual report will be tailored to the specific property, market, and ownership goals you submit.
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Disclaimer

Property Sage AI provides informational estimates, market observations, and commercial property insights for educational purposes only. Reports are not appraisals, broker opinions of value, legal advice, financial advice, or guarantees of future performance. Users should independently verify information before making real estate decisions.