The Reserve at Westgate
- 01 — Executive Summary
- 02 — Property Overview
- 03 — Market Analysis
- 04 — Valuation & Pricing
- 05 — Financial Pro Forma
- 06 — Comparable Transactions
- 07 — SWOT & Risk Assessment
- 08 — Recommendations & Exit Strategy
112-unit garden-style community, 1990s vintage, with $180/unit/month classic-to-renovated rent lift opportunity.
112 units across 8 buildings on 6.1 acres. Pitched roofs replaced 2020. 38% of units renovated; remaining 62% classic interiors.
Building systems, envelope, and site improvements were evaluated against age-appropriate benchmarks. Overall condition is consistent with the asset's vintage and prior capital plan; near-term capex is limited to cosmetic refresh and tenant-driven improvements.
Submarket rent growth 4.6% trailing-12. Class B vacancy 5.2%. Limited new deliveries through 2026 support continued rent growth.
Three-method valuation triangulating Income, Sales Comparison, and Cost approaches. Concluded value reflects current market conditions and the asset's position within Southeast Denver Class B.
| Cap rate ↓ / NOI → | -5% | Base | +5% |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5.75% | $15.2M | $16.0M | $16.8M |
| 6.25% | $14.0M | $14.9M | $15.4M |
| 6.75% | $12.9M | $13.6M | $14.3M |
Projected stabilized cash flows assume 3% annual rent growth, 2% expense growth, and a 7% vacancy reserve. Returns are illustrative and pre-debt.
| Line item | Yr 1 | Yr 2 | Yr 3 | Yr 4 | Yr 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gross Potential Income | $1,420k | $1,463k | $1,507k | $1,552k | $1,599k |
| Vacancy & Collection | ($99k) | ($102k) | ($105k) | ($109k) | ($112k) |
| Effective Gross Income | $1,321k | $1,361k | $1,402k | $1,443k | $1,487k |
| Operating Expenses | ($388k) | ($396k) | ($404k) | ($412k) | ($420k) |
| Net Operating Income | $933k | $965k | $998k | $1,031k | $1,067k |
| Capex Reserve | ($28k) | ($29k) | ($30k) | ($31k) | ($32k) |
| Cash Flow Before Debt | $905k | $936k | $968k | $1,000k | $1,035k |
Six 1980s–1990s vintage sales within 3 miles. Per-unit pricing $165k–$192k depending on renovation status.
| # | Property | Distance | $/SF | Cap rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aspen Pointe | 0.8 mi | $176k/unit | 6.0% |
| 2 | Cypress Trails | 1.6 mi | $182k/unit | 5.8% |
| 3 | The Maddox | 2.3 mi | $170k/unit | 6.1% |
| 4 | Brookline Apts | 2.9 mi | $185k/unit | 5.7% |
| 5 | Hillside 88 | 3.6 mi | $178k/unit | 6.0% |
| 6 | Westmark Flats | 4.2 mi | $192k/unit | 5.6% |
Comp set drawn from arm's-length transactions in the trailing 18 months; outliers (REIT portfolio trades, intra-family transfers) excluded. Adjustments applied for age, condition, lease structure, and location.
| Risk | Likelihood | Impact | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tenant rollover | Med | High | Pre-leasing & early renewal |
| Cap rate expansion | Med | Med | Lock fixed-rate debt |
| OpEx inflation | High | Low | NNN passthrough where possible |
| Insurance market | High | Med | Bundle & higher deductible |
Continue interior renovation program at 6 units/month, push renewals to market, then evaluate a supplemental loan in month 18.
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